The Fuse.俄罗斯财政崩溃监测
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俄罗斯联邦预算赤字

● 尚未越过阈值

预算赤字，占 GDP 比重（年化）

俄罗斯预算赤字指标追踪联邦预算滚动十二个月余额占GDP的比例，每月根据财政部的累计月度报告重新计算，而非取某一时点的单一数字。由于该数字经过去累计处理并按整年汇总，不会受到俄罗斯政府支出季节性模式（高度集中在12月）的扭曲。该指标依据两个已登记的基准评分：100分对应2021年的结果，即开战前的小额盈余；0分对应占GDP 10%的赤字，远超战争迄今造成的水平。赤字是本监测的“烧钱速度”——政府支出与收入之间缺口扩大的速度。数据来源：俄罗斯财政部，每月发布。 最新读数为3.3%，对应2026年8月。相对于-0.3%这一登记的战前基准，本监测指数得分为65/100；其中100代表战前水平，0代表登记的警戒线。

通俗名称：“烧钱有多快”——它衡量的是：烧钱速度：支出与收入的缺口扩大的速度。

▸ 俄罗斯预算赤字：如何解读这些数字

当前值3.3%数据 2026年8月 · 更新于2026年9月30日来源: minfin.gov.ru前值: 3.3% (2026年7月)
登记阈值> 10%登记于 2026-08-14 · 未变更战前基准: -0.3%65/100（对比战前）
等级 3 — 价格与比率价格与比率反映的是预期而非财政能力，可以被粉饰。永不触发 — 只作验证。

“俄罗斯联邦预算赤字”：历史数据与登记警戒线对照

202220232024202520265%0%警戒线 10%一条线：重建的月度历史，并以真实抓取更新 · 空缺保持空缺

这个数字是怎么来的

联邦收支差额同样按累计口径公布，因此先还原为单月，再滚动求和12个月，并除以GDP。100 = 2021年的执行结果，即占GDP 0.34%的盈余。0 = 占GDP 10%的赤字，远超这场战争所产生的任何情形。

背后的绝对量

₽8524亿−₽1671亿
按公布口径
计算这一比例所用的金额——阈值线仍留在上方图表中，因为它定义在水平上，而不是金额上

观测历史

数据日期数值原文片段（逐字）来源 / 抓取时间
2026-080.0329«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-08: 7501 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-30 08:58 UTC
2026-080.0329«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-08: 7501 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-29 08:30 UTC
2026-080.0329«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-08: 7501 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-28 08:32 UTC
2026-080.0329«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-08: 7501 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-26 08:31 UTC
2026-080.0329«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-08: 7501 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-25 08:30 UTC
2026-080.0329«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-08: 7501 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-24 08:30 UTC
2026-080.0329«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-08: 7501 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-23 08:33 UTC
2026-080.0329«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-08: 7501 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-22 08:42 UTC
2026-080.0329«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-08: 7501 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-21 08:30 UTC
2026-080.0329«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-08: 7501 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-20 08:30 UTC
2026-080.0329«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-08: 7501 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-18 08:32 UTC
2026-080.0329«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-08: 7501 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-17 09:01 UTC
2026-080.0329«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-08: 7501 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-16 08:41 UTC
2026-080.0329«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-08: 7501 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-15 08:31 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-14 08:33 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-13 08:30 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-12 08:30 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-09 08:20 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-07 22:10 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-06 08:36 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-05 08:42 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-04 08:35 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-03 08:43 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-02 08:37 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-01 08:43 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-31 08:30 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-30 08:34 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-29 09:04 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-28 11:33 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-28 11:25 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-28 08:14 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-27 18:11 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-27 18:10 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-27 09:14 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-26 09:50 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-25 10:30 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-24 10:13 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-23 11:49 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-22 19:11 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-22 19:08 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-22 19:05 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-22 17:44 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-16 00:38 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-14 18:10 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-14 18:08 UTC
2026-070.0327«12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-14 16:37 UTC
2026-H10.03«H1: 5.7 trn RUB (2.5% GDP) vs 3.8 trn annual plan; Gazprombank estimate 6.5-7.5 trn for the year»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC
已记录 52 次抓取（5 次解析失败）↓ 下载该系列数据（CSV）

解析失败历史

当解析器取不出值时，我们记录失败而不是去猜。失败绝不悄悄沿用上一个值。

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