Budget deficit, % GDP (annualized)
● HOLDINGPlain-language label: “How fast they burn cash” — position 4 of 7 in the causal chain: the burn rate: how fast the gap between spending and income grows.
CURRENT VALUE3.3%data Jul 2026
REGISTERED THRESHOLD> 10%registered 2026-08-14 · unchanged
CLASS 3 — PRICES & RATIOSPrices and ratios reflect expectations, not fiscal capacity, and can be painted. Never triggers — confirms only.
History vs the trouble line
line: reconstructed monthly history (backtest inputs) · dots: real fetches · gaps stay gaps
Observation history
| DATE OF DATA | VALUE | RAW FRAGMENT (VERBATIM) | SOURCE / FETCHED |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 0.0327 | «12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)» | minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-16 00:38 UTC |
| 2026-07 | 0.0327 | «12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)» | minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-14 18:10 UTC |
| 2026-07 | 0.0327 | «12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)» | minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-14 18:08 UTC |
| 2026-07 | 0.0327 | «12-month rolling deficit through 2026-07: 7460 bn RUB = 3.3% of GDP (228 trn est.)» | minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-14 16:37 UTC |
| 2026-H1 | 0.03 | «H1: 5.7 trn RUB (2.5% GDP) vs 3.8 trn annual plan; Gazprombank estimate 6.5-7.5 trn for the year» | minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC |
Parse-failure history
When our parser can't extract a value, we log the failure instead of guessing. Failures never silently reuse the previous value.
No parse failures recorded.
Availability events
None recorded.