The Fuse.RUSSIA'S FISCAL BREAKDOWN MONITOR
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DATA · EVERY INDICATOR OVER TIME

Every indicator, plotted

One line per indicator: the reconstructed monthly history the backtest runs on (2022 onward, from primary sources, with hand-read values marked ◆), updated with the values our fetchers actually pulled. The dashed line is the registered trouble line. Gaps are gaps — we never interpolate.

Oil and gas money coming in● SHORT OF ITS LINE12/100 vs pre-war
OIL & GAS BUDGET REVENUES · CLASS 220222023202420252026121%54%trouble line 50%now 56% of the pre-war level · trouble line — 50% · details
Rainy-day fund left● SHORT OF ITS LINE29/100 vs pre-war
LIQUID NWF · CLASS 220222023202420252026$146 bn$36 bntrouble line $20 bnnow $46.7 bn liquid · the trouble line is $20 bn · details
How fast they burn cash● SHORT OF ITS LINE65/100 vs pre-war
BUDGET DEFICIT, % GDP (ANNUALIZED) · CLASS 3202220232024202520265%0%trouble line 10%now 3.3% of GDP deficit (12-month) · the trouble line is 10% · details
Are the regions staying afloat?● SHORT OF ITS LINE31/100 vs pre-war
CONSOLIDATED REGIONAL BUDGET BALANCE · CLASS 220222023202420252026₽1.61 trn−₽2.14 trntrouble line −₽2.50 trnnow −₽1.51 trn consolidated regional balance over 12 months · the trouble line is −₽2.5 trn · details
Are firms paying each other?● SHORT OF ITS LINE9/100 vs pre-war
OVERDUE RECEIVABLES (UNPAID INVOICES) · CLASS 2202220232024202520261.96×1×trouble line 2×now 1.91× of the pre-war level · trouble line — 2× · details
Prices in shops● SHORT OF ITS LINE95/100 vs pre-war
ANNUAL INFLATION · CLASS 320222023202420252026+18%+2%trouble line +40%now +6.3% vs last year · the trouble line is +40% · details
How fast they print money● SHORT OF ITS LINE86/100 vs pre-war
M2 MONEY SUPPLY GROWTH · CLASS 320222023202420252026+26%+11%trouble line +30%now +12.9% vs last year · the trouble line is +30% · details
Stuff moving by rail● SHORT OF ITS LINE33/100 vs pre-war
RZD RAIL LOADING · CLASS 22022202320242025202696%87%trouble line 80%now 87% of the pre-war level · trouble line — 80% · details

Open data & citation

Everything charted here is downloadable: one CSV per indicator — the same merged series the chart draws — and the whole live state as one JSON document, from the same endpoints our own pages read.

live state — JSONOil and gas money coming in · CSVRainy-day fund left · CSVHow fast they burn cash · CSVAre the regions staying afloat? · CSVAre firms paying each other? · CSVPrices in shops · CSVHow fast they print money · CSVStuff moving by rail · CSV

Cite as: The Fuse (thefuse.watch) · model v0.1.0 · thresholds registered 2026-08-14 · CC BY 4.0 — a link is enough.

Reconstruction caveats are on the track-record page; per-fetch raw fragments and parse failures are on each indicator page.