Oil & gas budget revenues
● HOLDINGPlain-language label: “Oil money coming in” — position 1 of 7 in the causal chain: the driver: when oil money falls, everything downstream strains.
CURRENT VALUE+18.6%data Jul 2026
REGISTERED THRESHOLD< -25%registered 2026-08-14 · unchanged
CLASS 2 — STATE-PUBLISHED, PHYSICALPublished by the Russian state, so it can be managed. A class-2 signal counts toward a trigger only in a pair with another firing class-2 link.
History vs the trouble line
line: reconstructed monthly history (backtest inputs) · dots: real fetches · gaps stay gaps
Observation history
| DATE OF DATA | VALUE | RAW FRAGMENT (VERBATIM) | SOURCE / FETCHED |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 0.186 | «oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)» | minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-16 00:38 UTC |
| 2026-07 | 0.186 | «oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)» | minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-14 18:10 UTC |
| 2026-07 | 0.186 | «oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)» | minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-14 18:08 UTC |
| 2026-07 | 0.186 | «oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)» | minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-14 16:37 UTC |
| 2026-01 | -0.5 | «RF Ministry of Finance: 393 bn RUB, -50% y/y, five-year low» | minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC |
Parse-failure history
When our parser can't extract a value, we log the failure instead of guessing. Failures never silently reuse the previous value.
No parse failures recorded.
Availability events
None recorded.