The Fuse.RUSSIA'S FISCAL BREAKDOWN MONITOR
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Russia's Oil and Gas Budget Revenues

● SHORT OF ITS LINE

Oil & gas budget revenues

Russia's oil and gas revenue indicator tracks the rolling 12-month real value of oil and gas receipts into the federal budget, deflated to 2021 prices and measured as a level against the pre-war baseline rather than as a year-on-year growth rate. A growth rate can say a lot has changed since last year without ever answering whether revenue has recovered to where it stood before the war; a level answers that directly. The finance ministry publishes the figures cumulatively from the start of each year, so each month's contribution is calculated as the difference from the month before. The indicator is scored against two registered anchors: 100 marks the 2021 total in real terms; 0 marks half of it. Oil and gas revenue is the monitor's “driver” — when it falls, every other indicator on this monitor comes under added strain. Source: Russia's Ministry of Finance, published monthly. For Aug 2026, the latest reading is 56%. Against the registered pre-war baseline of 100%, it scores 12/100 on this monitor's index, where 100 is the pre-war level and 0 is the registered trouble line.

Plain-language label: “Oil and gas money coming in” — what it measures: the driver: when oil money falls, everything downstream strains.

▸ Russia's oil and gas revenues explained

CURRENT VALUE56%data Aug 2026 · last updated Sep 30, 2026SOURCE: minfin.gov.ruPREVIOUS VALUE: 57% (Jul 2026)
REGISTERED THRESHOLD< 50%registered 2026-08-14 · unchangedPRE-WAR BASELINE: 100%12/100 vs pre-warReal oil & gas revenue is at 56% of the pre-war level.
CLASS 2 — STATE-PUBLISHED, PHYSICALPublished by the Russian state, so it can be managed. A class-2 signal counts toward a trigger only in a pair with another firing class-2 indicator.

“Russian Oil and Gas Budget Revenues”: historical data against the registered trouble line

20222023202420252026121%54%trouble line 50%one line: reconstructed monthly history updated with real fetches · gaps stay gaps

How this number is made

The finance ministry publishes oil and gas revenue cumulatively from the start of the year, so each month is the difference from the month before. Those months are deflated by Rosstat's monthly consumer-price index into 2021 prices and summed over twelve months. 100 = the 2021 total, ₽9 027 bn in those prices. 0 = half of it.

The magnitude behind it

₽11656 bn₽4872 bn
real, 2021 pricesas reported
the money the share is computed from — the line lives on the chart above, because it is defined on the level, not on the money

Observation history

DATE OF DATAVALUERAW FRAGMENT (VERBATIM)SOURCE / FETCHED
2026-08-0.16«oil&gas 2026-08: 424 bn RUB vs 505 a year earlier -> -16.0% y/y (YTD -16.7% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-30 08:58 UTC
2026-08-0.16«oil&gas 2026-08: 424 bn RUB vs 505 a year earlier -> -16.0% y/y (YTD -16.7% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-29 08:30 UTC
2026-08-0.16«oil&gas 2026-08: 424 bn RUB vs 505 a year earlier -> -16.0% y/y (YTD -16.7% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-28 08:32 UTC
2026-08-0.16«oil&gas 2026-08: 424 bn RUB vs 505 a year earlier -> -16.0% y/y (YTD -16.7% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-26 08:31 UTC
2026-08-0.16«oil&gas 2026-08: 424 bn RUB vs 505 a year earlier -> -16.0% y/y (YTD -16.7% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-25 08:30 UTC
2026-08-0.16«oil&gas 2026-08: 424 bn RUB vs 505 a year earlier -> -16.0% y/y (YTD -16.7% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-24 08:30 UTC
2026-08-0.16«oil&gas 2026-08: 424 bn RUB vs 505 a year earlier -> -16.0% y/y (YTD -16.7% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-23 08:33 UTC
2026-08-0.16«oil&gas 2026-08: 424 bn RUB vs 505 a year earlier -> -16.0% y/y (YTD -16.7% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-22 08:42 UTC
2026-08-0.16«oil&gas 2026-08: 424 bn RUB vs 505 a year earlier -> -16.0% y/y (YTD -16.7% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-21 08:30 UTC
2026-08-0.16«oil&gas 2026-08: 424 bn RUB vs 505 a year earlier -> -16.0% y/y (YTD -16.7% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-20 08:30 UTC
2026-08-0.16«oil&gas 2026-08: 424 bn RUB vs 505 a year earlier -> -16.0% y/y (YTD -16.7% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-18 08:32 UTC
2026-08-0.16«oil&gas 2026-08: 424 bn RUB vs 505 a year earlier -> -16.0% y/y (YTD -16.7% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-17 09:01 UTC
2026-08-0.16«oil&gas 2026-08: 424 bn RUB vs 505 a year earlier -> -16.0% y/y (YTD -16.7% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-16 08:41 UTC
2026-08-0.16«oil&gas 2026-08: 424 bn RUB vs 505 a year earlier -> -16.0% y/y (YTD -16.7% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-15 08:31 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-14 08:33 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-13 08:30 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-12 08:30 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-09 08:20 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-07 22:10 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-06 08:36 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-05 08:42 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-04 08:35 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-03 08:43 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-02 08:37 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-01 08:43 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-31 08:30 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-30 08:34 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-29 09:04 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-28 11:33 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-28 11:25 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-28 08:14 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-27 18:11 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-27 18:10 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-27 09:14 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-26 09:50 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-25 10:30 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-24 10:13 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-23 11:49 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-22 19:11 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-22 19:08 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-22 19:05 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-22 17:44 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-16 00:38 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-14 18:10 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-14 18:08 UTC
2026-070.186«oil&gas 2026-07: 934 bn RUB vs 787 a year earlier -> 18.6% y/y (YTD -16.8% y/y)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-14 16:37 UTC
2026-01-0.5«RF Ministry of Finance: 393 bn RUB, -50% y/y, five-year low»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC
52 fetches recorded (5 parse failures)↓ Download this series as CSV

Parse-failure history

When our parser can't extract a value, we log the failure instead of guessing. Failures never silently reuse the previous value.

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