The Fuse.RUSSIA'S FISCAL BREAKDOWN MONITOR
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Russia's Regional Budget Balance

● SHORT OF ITS LINE

Consolidated regional budget balance

Russia's regional budget balance indicator tracks the consolidated balance of every regional government budget in the country over a rolling 12-month period, in roubles, taken from the finance ministry's own monthly reporting on regional finances. Like the federal deficit, the figures are published cumulatively and de-cumulated here to remove the effect of Russia's back-loaded government spending calendar. The indicator is scored against two registered anchors: 100 marks the 2021 outcome, a consolidated surplus; 0 marks a consolidated deficit equal to roughly 1.1% of GDP. Regional budgets are described on this monitor as the federal budget's “second front”: regions depend heavily on federal transfers, so a widening regional deficit tends to end up back on the federal government's own doorstep. Source: Russia's Ministry of Finance, published monthly. For Aug 2026, the latest reading is −₽1.51 trn. Against the registered pre-war baseline of +₽0.66 trn, it scores 31/100 on this monitor's index, where 100 is the pre-war level and 0 is the registered trouble line.

Plain-language label: “Are the regions staying afloat?” — what it measures: the second front of the budget: regional deficits end up on the federal doorstep.

▸ Russia's regional budgets explained

CURRENT VALUE−₽1.51 trndata Aug 2026 · last updated Oct 5, 2026SOURCE: minfin.gov.ruPREVIOUS VALUE: −₽1.62 trn (Jul 2026)
REGISTERED THRESHOLD< −₽2.5 trnregistered 2026-08-21 · unchangedPRE-WAR BASELINE: +₽0.66 trn31/100 vs pre-warRegional budgets: −₽1.51 trn over twelve months, against a surplus before the war.
CLASS 2 — STATE-PUBLISHED, PHYSICALPublished by the Russian state, so it can be managed. A class-2 signal counts toward a trigger only in a pair with another firing class-2 indicator.

“Russia Regional Budget Balance”: historical data against the registered trouble line

20222023202420252026₽1.61 trn−₽2.14 trntrouble line −₽2.50 trnone line: reconstructed monthly history updated with real fetches · gaps stay gaps

How this number is made

Prilozhenie 6 of the ministry's monthly report gives the consolidated balance of every regional budget, also cumulative, so it is de-cumulated and rolled over twelve months. Roubles, not deflated: both anchors are money in the same units. 100 = the 2021 surplus of ₽0.66 trn. 0 = a deficit of ₽2.5 trn, about 1.1% of GDP.

Observation history

DATE OF DATAVALUERAW FRAGMENT (VERBATIM)SOURCE / FETCHED
2026-08-1.509«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.509 trn RUB @ 2026-08 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-10-05 08:30 UTC
2026-08-1.509«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.509 trn RUB @ 2026-08 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-10-04 12:10 UTC
2026-08-1.509«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.509 trn RUB @ 2026-08 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-10-03 10:59 UTC
2026-08-1.509«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.509 trn RUB @ 2026-08 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-10-02 08:58 UTC
2026-08-1.509«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.509 trn RUB @ 2026-08 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-10-01 08:46 UTC
2026-08-1.509«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.509 trn RUB @ 2026-08 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-30 09:14 UTC
2026-08-1.509«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.509 trn RUB @ 2026-08 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-29 08:30 UTC
2026-08-1.509«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.509 trn RUB @ 2026-08 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-28 08:32 UTC
2026-08-1.509«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.509 trn RUB @ 2026-08 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-26 09:00 UTC
2026-08-1.509«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.509 trn RUB @ 2026-08 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-25 08:31 UTC
2026-08-1.509«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.509 trn RUB @ 2026-08 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-24 08:31 UTC
2026-08-1.509«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.509 trn RUB @ 2026-08 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-23 08:50 UTC
2026-08-1.509«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.509 trn RUB @ 2026-08 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-22 08:43 UTC
2026-08-1.509«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.509 trn RUB @ 2026-08 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-21 08:31 UTC
2026-08-1.509«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.509 trn RUB @ 2026-08 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-20 08:31 UTC
2026-08-1.509«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.509 trn RUB @ 2026-08 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-18 09:49 UTC
2026-08-1.509«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.509 trn RUB @ 2026-08 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-17 09:57 UTC
2026-08-1.509«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.509 trn RUB @ 2026-08 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-16 08:41 UTC
2026-08-1.509«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.509 trn RUB @ 2026-08 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-15 08:32 UTC
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-14 08:48 UTC
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-13 08:31 UTC
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-12 08:30 UTC
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-09 08:21 UTC
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-07 22:11 UTC
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-06 08:37 UTC
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-05 08:43 UTC
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-04 08:35 UTC
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-03 09:12 UTC
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-02 08:53 UTC
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-09-01 08:56 UTC
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-31 08:30 UTC
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-30 08:34 UTC
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-29 10:34 UTC
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-28 11:33 UTC
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-28 11:26 UTC
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-28 08:15 UTC
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-27 18:11 UTC
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-27 18:10 UTC
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-27 09:14 UTC
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-26 09:51 UTC
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-25 10:30 UTC
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-24 10:13 UTC
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-23 11:50 UTC
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-22 19:12 UTC
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-22 19:09 UTC
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-22 19:06 UTC
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-21 11:40 UTC
53 fetches recorded (6 parse failures)↓ Download this series as CSV

Parse-failure history

When our parser can't extract a value, we log the failure instead of guessing. Failures never silently reuse the previous value.

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