The Fuse.RUSSIA'S FISCAL BREAKDOWN MONITOR

Regional budgets deficit (consolidated)

● SHORT OF ITS LINE

Plain-language label: Are the regions staying afloat? — what it measures: the second front of the budget: regional deficits end up on the federal doorstep.

CURRENT VALUE−₽1.62 trndata Jul 2026
REGISTERED THRESHOLD< −₽2.5 trnregistered 2026-08-21 · unchanged28/100 vs pre-warRegional budgets: −₽1.62 trn over twelve months, against a surplus before the war.
CLASS 2 — STATE-PUBLISHED, PHYSICALPublished by the Russian state, so it can be managed. A class-2 signal counts toward a trigger only in a pair with another firing class-2 indicator.

History vs the trouble line

20222023202420252026₽1.61 trn−₽2.14 trntrouble line −₽2.50 trnone line: reconstructed monthly history updated with real fetches · gaps stay gaps

How this number is made

Prilozhenie 6 of the ministry's monthly report gives the consolidated balance of every regional budget, also cumulative, so it is de-cumulated and rolled over twelve months. Rubles, not deflated: both anchors are money in the same units. 100 = the 2021 surplus of ₽0.66 trn. 0 = a deficit of ₽2.5 trn, about 1.1% of GDP.

Observation history

DATE OF DATAVALUERAW FRAGMENT (VERBATIM)SOURCE / FETCHED
2026-07-1.616«rolling-12m consolidated regional balance -1.616 trn RUB @ 2026-07 (negative = deficit)»minfin.gov.ru · 2026-08-21 11:40 UTC
1 fetches recorded (0 parse failures)

Parse-failure history

When our parser can't extract a value, we log the failure instead of guessing. Failures never silently reuse the previous value.

No parse failures recorded.

Availability events

None recorded.

Are the regions staying afloat? — Regional budgets deficit (consolidated) · The Fuse